Why take a chance?

by charles | Comments are closed

08/13/2024

“If I had asked my customers what they wanted they would have said a faster horse.” —Henry Ford

If you were sitting on a college board today, would you take a chance and hire a young David Swensen or Paula Volent to manage the money?  Radical thinkers cut from uncommon cloth?

Let’s reframe the question.  If institutional investing is all about finding alpha and maintaining an edge, why are so many tax-exempt institutions investing and hiring alike?

Almost forty-five percent of U.S. tax-exempt money is invested with just ten active managers, nearly double the amount two decades ago.  To quote one reader’s response to our recent query, “everyone’s in the same funds and there’s leverage everywhere.”

(click link for chart. Data from P&I, chart by Robert Snigaroff, President & CIO, Denali Advisors)

In theory, pensions, endowments, foundations, and the like seek active managers to obtain above-market returns.  In practice, that doesn’t seem to be how it works.

A former large endowment CIO mentioned recently that his team would scour the globe for unique opportunities, but the first thing his trustees would ask when told of any rare find was “what other endowments have invested in this?”

Safety in numbers

Most trustees accept the position because they love their institution, and often pay for the privilege, but the reputational risks of sitting on a nonprofit board outweigh the rewards.  Media assassinations felled some well-meaning board members recently.

Let’s be honest.  If the David Swenson of 1985 applied for a CIO position at Yale today, he would not survive the first round of interviews — a young untested Wall Street banker, working on something called interest rate swaps?  No way.

And how about Paula Volent, for twenty years the preeminent CIO at Bowdoin College, currently at Rockefeller University?  Year after year she has crushed our endowment rankings.

But she was an art history major running a West Coast fine arts conservation business before her swing to a Yale MBA and money management.  Would any college board dare hire someone with that background and mid-career makeover today?

The horns of our dilemma

Here’s our challenge. If boards want a “faster horse” they may not appreciate being shown EVs.

Our pool of investment talent includes hundreds of tax-exempt endowments, foundations, public and private pensions, health systems, associations, and charities, and thousands of for-profit analysts and managers at funds, family offices, OCIOs, RIAs, Wall Street banks, and asset managers.

Yet roughly sixty-five percent of endowment hires come from other endowments, a safe and like-minded cadre of about a hundred candidates.

But that’s not the only bottleneck. In the E&F world, men are twice as likely to land a chief investment officer position as women despite a near fifty-fifty split in staff roles. Our women in finance report focused on the time it took the double X cohort to reach CIO positions.

We counted heads and reviewed backgrounds and what did we find? Most female chief investment officers had an additional five to ten years of work history on their resumes compared to the men. In other words, the men were younger than the women when hired for CIO roles – ten years on average – with less experience.

And forget that hackneyed trope about taking a break for babies. Most served hard time at Morgan Stanley, Montgomery Securities, Goldman Sachs, and other financial firms while raising a family.

The gist is that board members seem more inclined to take a chance on younger men than younger women, which leaves fifty percent of the talent pool out to dry. We who recruit investment talent for industry-leading firms, funds, and families have learned that gender has no bearing on investment performance.

Words worth repeating

For those of us that hunt talent for a living, character, compatibility, and content are key.  Character embodies the qualities that define the individual, compatibility – that elusive emotional IQ that Daniel Goldman writes about –  builds trust, and content is knowledge and experience accumulated over a lifetime.  

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